Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.000680 0.000709 0.000738 0.000770 0.000803 0.000838 0.000877
2025-11-02 0.000631 0.000674 0.000718 0.000769 0.000824 0.000884 0.000952
2025-11-09 0.000586 0.000637 0.000693 0.000756 0.000829 0.000909 0.001005
2025-11-16 0.000552 0.000609 0.000672 0.000746 0.000833 0.000932 0.001054
2025-11-23 0.000536 0.000599 0.000671 0.000757 0.000861 0.000981 0.001134
2025-11-30 0.000517 0.000585 0.000663 0.000759 0.000876 0.001016 0.001197
2025-12-07 0.000494 0.000565 0.000646 0.000749 0.000876 0.001030 0.001235
2025-12-14 0.000474 0.000546 0.000630 0.000738 0.000873 0.001041 0.001268
2025-12-21 0.000457 0.000530 0.000617 0.000730 0.000874 0.001055 0.001305
2025-12-28 0.000430 0.000502 0.000588 0.000700 0.000845 0.001029 0.001287
2026-01-04 0.000415 0.000488 0.000576 0.000691 0.000841 0.001035 0.001313
2026-01-11 0.000404 0.000478 0.000567 0.000687 0.000844 0.001050 0.001350
2026-01-18 0.000391 0.000466 0.000557 0.000679 0.000843 0.001061 0.001383
2026-01-25 0.000384 0.000460 0.000554 0.000682 0.000855 0.001090 0.001444
2026-02-01 0.000372 0.000448 0.000542 0.000673 0.000851 0.001096 0.001472
2026-02-08 0.000361 0.000437 0.000532 0.000665 0.000848 0.001104 0.001502
2026-02-15 0.000358 0.000436 0.000535 0.000674 0.000870 0.001147 0.001588
2026-02-22 0.000351 0.000431 0.000532 0.000676 0.000880 0.001174 0.001650
2026-03-01 0.000342 0.000421 0.000522 0.000667 0.000876 0.001178 0.001677
2026-03-08 0.000332 0.000410 0.000512 0.000658 0.000869 0.001180 0.001699
2026-03-15 0.000324 0.000402 0.000504 0.000651 0.000867 0.001186 0.001730
2026-03-22 0.000310 0.000385 0.000483 0.000626 0.000836 0.001148 0.001683
2026-03-29 0.000302 0.000376 0.000474 0.000618 0.000830 0.001149 0.001702